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Seth Ferguson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-01-10 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Soo Eagles NOJHL 47 22 22 44 0.936 0.1563 0.1557 0.3897 0.3883
2022-23 Utica Jr. Comets NCDC 44 6 17 23 0.523 0.2131 0.2093 0.4201 0.4126
2023-24 Utica Jr. Comets NCDC 52 14 26 40 0.769 0.3136 0.2902 0.6183 0.5722
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Elmira D3 UCHC SO 17 4 3 7 0.412
2024-25 Elmira D3 UCHC — 23 4 3 7 0.304
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.30
2024-25 · Elmira
+37.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11131
Forward overall
#498
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nolan Zotter
Canton · 2023-24
0.545 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Burke
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2003-04
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Derek Stabile
Becker · 2005-06
0.636 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.