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Lucas Stevenson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-03-12 Country: Canada
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Haliburton County Huskies OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Haliburton County Huskies OJHL 54 16 18 34 0.630 0.1543 0.1559 0.4310 0.4356
2022-23 Haliburton County Huskies OJHL 27 4 13 17 0.630 0.1543 0.1480 0.4310 0.4135
2023-24 Haliburton County Huskies OJHL 52 17 26 43 0.827 0.2027 0.1839 0.5660 0.5136
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Elmira D3 UCHC SO 25 8 13 21 0.840
2024-25 Elmira D3 UCHC — 24 2 2 4 0.167
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2024-25 · Elmira
+14.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#25716
Forward overall
#1443
Forward born in 2003
#1227
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Mike Gooch
Neumann · 2003-04
0.870 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Carter Cowlthorp
Norwich · 2016-17
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Rust
Adrian · 2013-14
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.