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Francis Rose Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-04-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 NCDC 21 2 3 5 0.238 0.1328 0.1315 0.1925 0.1906
2024-25 Mercer Chiefs USPHL-Premier 43 25 35 60 1.395 0.4599 0.4256 0.4747 0.4393
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Western Connecticut D3 LittleEast FR 24 2 15 17 0.708
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.71
2025-26 · Western Connecticut
+168.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13478
Forward overall
#619
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Plymouth State · 2012-13
0.741 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Canton · 2018-19
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Fredonia · 2023-24
0.462 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.