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Justin Scarbrough Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-10 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Northern Cyclones USPHL-Premier 21 5 5 10 0.476 0.0623 0.0634 0.1616 0.1644
2023-24 Northern Cyclones USPHL-Premier 43 29 18 47 1.093 0.1430 0.1386 0.3710 0.3595
2024-25 Northern Cyclones USPHL-Premier 44 33 25 58 1.318 0.1724 0.1570 0.4474 0.4073
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Assumption D2 NE10 — 8 0 1 1 0.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2025-26 · Assumption
-2.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
2%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12273
Forward overall
#541
Forward born in 2004
#618
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Backman
Plymouth State · 2016-17
0.458 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Shane Bernhardson
Concordia · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Ross
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.