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Justin Mercier Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-06-25 Country: USA
2005 · Round 6, Pick #168  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 Lincoln Stars USHL 60 12 9 21 0.350 0.2065 0.2311 1.0512 1.1767
2004-05 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 26 1 7 8 0.308 0.2287 0.2240 1.1482 1.1246
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 Miami D1 NCHC SR 40 14 15 29 0.725
2007-08 Miami D1 NCHC JR 42 25 15 40 0.952
2006-07 Miami D1 NCHC SO 40 10 15 25 0.625
2005-06 Miami D1 NCHC FR 35 3 7 10 0.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2005-06 · Miami
+47.1% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#26402
Forward overall
#849
Forward born in 1987

D1 Comparables

Dawson Cook
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan McLaughlin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Canisius (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Moy
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Harvard (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jack Jenkins
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.42 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Salerno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brent Wold
Utica · 2010-11
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Kero
Saint John's · 2014-15
0.480 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Chad Merrell
University of New England · 2015-16
0.611 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.