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Chad Merrell Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-06-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Bridgewater Jr. Bandits EHLP 4 4 3 7 1.750 0.1368 0.1454 0.3952 0.4202
2016-17 Renfrew Wolves CCHL 61 12 24 36 0.590 0.1684 0.1726 0.4569 0.4684
2017-18 Renfrew Wolves CCHL 36 13 15 28 0.778 0.2220 0.2161 0.6021 0.5862
2018-19 Johnstown Tomahawks NAHL 30 8 6 14 0.467 0.1733 0.1643 0.4941 0.4685
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 New England D3 SO 2 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 New England D3 FR 18 4 7 11 0.611
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.61
2019-20 · New England
+285.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

0%
NCAA D1
42%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30255
Forward overall
#1283
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2010-11
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Concordia · 2009-10
0.630 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.