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Garrett Joss Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-03-12 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 6 1 1 2 0.333 0.0817 0.0867 0.2294 0.2433
2022-23 Smiths Falls Bears CCHL 49 11 10 21 0.429 0.0930 0.0947 0.3283 0.3342
2023-24 Utah Outliers NCDC 53 19 42 61 1.151 0.4692 0.4616 0.9210 0.9062
2024-25 Utah Outliers NCDC 48 37 17 54 1.125 0.4587 0.4309 0.9002 0.8457
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC FR 16 2 3 5 0.312
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.38
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2025-26 · Gustavus Adolphus
-17.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4643
Forward overall
#124
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Henry McKinney
Nazareth · 2018-19
0.536 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brad Carpenter
Wentworth · 2000-01
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Colin MacCormack
Bowdoin · 2005-06
0.840 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.