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Garrett Joss Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-03-12 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 6 1 1 2 0.333 0.0817 0.0867 0.2292 0.2431
2022-23 Smiths Falls Bears CCHL 49 11 10 21 0.429 0.0930 0.0947 0.3315 0.3374
2023-24 Utah Outliers NCDC 53 19 42 61 1.151 0.2660 0.2617 0.9274 0.9125
2024-25 Utah Outliers NCDC 48 37 17 54 1.125 0.2600 0.2443 0.9065 0.8516
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Gustavus Adolphus D3 MIAC — 16 2 3 5 0.312
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2025-26 · Gustavus Adolphus
+45.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5322
Forward overall
#138
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brad Carpenter
Wentworth · 2000-01
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitchell Parsons
SUNY Brockport · 2017-18
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Prappas
Trine · 2018-19
0.929 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.