IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Matt Copponi Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-06-04 Country: USA
2023 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #216  ·  Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Dexter NE-Prep 30 18 19 37 1.233 0.3479 0.3479 0.5644 0.5644
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 40 6 18 24 0.600
2023-24 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast JR 30 7 25 32 1.067
2022-23 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 37 14 15 29 0.784
2021-22 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast FR 25 3 6 9 0.360
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2021-22 · Merrimack
+20.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Club / ACHA
52%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11797
Forward overall
#535
Forward born in 2003
#55
in NE-Prep

D1 Comparables

Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jordan Fralich
St. Scholastica · 2014-15
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cody Smith
Norwich · 2006-07
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brayden Fryfogle
Canton · 2021-22
0.478 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.