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Tnias Mathurin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-01-15 Country: Canada
2022 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #137  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 North Bay Battalion OHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 North Bay Battalion OHL 44 3 12 15 0.341 0.1978 0.2031 0.8736 0.8968
2022-23 North Bay Battalion OHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 North Bay Battalion OHL 51 3 14 17 0.333 0.1934 0.1809 0.8541 0.7990
2024-25 Windsor Spitfires OHL 49 7 16 23 0.469 0.2724 0.2408 1.2028 1.0631
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast FR 9 1 1 2 0.222
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.22
2025-26 · UMass Lowell
+8.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5109
Defenseman overall
#1311
Defenseman born in 2004
#1386
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Max Rasberg
New England · 2016-17
0.964 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Volonnino
Plymouth State · 2014-15
1.056 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Everson
Utica · 2016-17
0.895 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.