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Owain Johnston Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-10-19 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
St. Francis Xavier Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 North York Rangers OJHL 10 0 0 0 0.000
2020-21 Navan Grads CCHL 0 0 0 0 0.000
2021-22 Erie Otters OHL 64 3 10 13 0.203 0.1175 0.1192 0.5219 0.5295
2022-23 Erie Otters OHL 49 1 7 8 0.163 0.0945 0.0918 0.4196 0.4076
2023-24 Erie Otters OHL 68 5 24 29 0.426 0.2467 0.2278 1.0959 1.0119
2024-25 St. Francis Xavier Univ. USports-M 7 0 3 3 0.429 0.2261 0.2485 1.2562 1.3809
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Holy Cross D1 AHA FR 38 2 8 10 0.263
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2025-26 · Holy Cross
+16.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
90%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9021
Defenseman overall
#2035
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Morrisville · 2014-15
1.083 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Geneseo · 2002-03
1.077 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Westfield State · 2007-08
1.208 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.