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Matthew Manza Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-09-22 Country: Canada
Ohio State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Toronto Patriots OJHL 49 26 23 49 1.000 0.2451 0.2780 0.6883 0.7806
2024-25 Sarnia Sting OHL 26 6 6 12 0.462 0.2670 0.2852 1.2084 1.2907
2025-26 Sarnia Sting OHL 67 13 21 34 0.507 0.2936 0.2988 1.3288 1.3525
2026-27 Sarnia Sting OHL 7 1 3 4 0.571 0.3306 0.3306 1.4962 1.4962
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

60%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20405
Forward overall
#639
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ Army (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong
NCAAe PPG
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Wisconsin-Stout (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.70 PPG
→ Vermont (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Ohio State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

USHS-MN 2021-22
0.17
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
NAHL 2017-18
0.47
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
USHL 2016-17
0.20
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
USHS-MN 2020-21
0.00
actual FR PPG at Ohio State

D2/3 Comparables

Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Thomas · 2014-15
0.955 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Worcester State · 2023-24
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.