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Matthew Manza Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-09-22 Country: Canada
Ohio State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Toronto Patriots OJHL 49 26 23 49 1.000 0.2451 0.2780 0.6885 0.7808
2024-25 Sarnia Sting OHL 26 6 6 12 0.462 0.2670 0.2852 1.1858 1.2665
2025-26 Sarnia Sting OHL 67 13 21 34 0.507 0.2936 0.2988 1.3040 1.3272
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20090
Forward overall
#605
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG

Ohio State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Landen Gunderson
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.17
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
Dylan Godbout
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.07
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
Georgii Merkulov
MHL-RU 2018-19
0.94
actual FR PPG at Ohio State
Yevgen Fadyeyev
USHL 2015-16
0.20
actual FR PPG at Ohio State

D2/3 Comparables

Nate Pionk
St. Scholastica · 2014-15
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicholas Petriello
Buffalo State · 2004-05
1.200 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryce Grandbois
Worcester State · 2022-23
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.