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Matt Christian Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-09-09 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 23 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2016-17 Winkler Flyers MJHL 58 19 27 46 0.793 0.2156 0.2148 0.4998 0.4980
2017-18 Winkler Flyers MJHL 60 32 49 81 1.350 0.3671 0.3479 0.8508 0.8064
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 St. Thomas D3 — SO 18 2 3 5 0.278
2018-19 St. Thomas D3 — FR 18 2 2 4 0.222
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.22
2018-19 · St. Thomas
-16.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

57%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#23020
Forward overall
#1045
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Adam Tretowicz
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2018-19
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Dicarlo
SUNY Oswego · 2018-19
0.773 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Anthony Pickering
Concordia (WI) · 2013-14
0.809 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.