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Alex Dicarlo Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-08-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Smiths Falls Bears CCHL 55 15 14 29 0.527 0.1144 0.1181 0.4080 0.4211
2017-18 Smiths Falls Bears CCHL 61 21 30 51 0.836 0.1814 0.1779 0.6469 0.6343
2018-19 — CCHL 62 28 37 65 1.048 0.2274 0.2128 0.8111 0.7592
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 SUNY Oswego D3 SUNYAC SR 24 13 14 27 1.125
2021-22 SUNY Oswego D3 SUNYAC JR 25 13 11 24 0.960
2019-20 Oswego D1 — FR 22 9 8 17 0.773
2019-20 SUNY Oswego D3 SUNYAC FR 22 9 8 17 0.773
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.77
2019-20 · Oswego
+354.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#18538
Forward overall
#879
Forward born in 1998
#298
in CCHL

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack O'Hanisain
Adrian · 2024-25
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan McKenna
Connecticut College · 2024-25
0.792 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Cayden Cahill
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2016-17
0.862 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.