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Lucas Herrmann Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-08-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 — NAHL 54 6 19 25 0.463 0.1701 0.1868 0.4887 0.5366
2018-19 Madison Capitols USHL 53 14 8 22 0.415 0.2449 0.2486 1.2467 1.2657
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Utica D3 UCHC — 29 15 20 35 1.207
2021-22 New Hampshire D1 HockeyEast — 24 0 1 1 0.042
2020-21 New Hampshire D1 HockeyEast SO 17 3 4 7 0.412
2019-20 New Hampshire D1 HockeyEast FR 30 0 3 3 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2019-20 · New Hampshire
-47.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

68%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24482
Forward overall
#1161
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG
Nate Arentz
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jarrid Privitera
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Vermont (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Max Shuart
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Michigan
0.25 No data
NCAAe PPG
Alex Rauter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Cornell (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jon Whitelaw
SUNY Oswego · 2006-07
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Tyrie
Worcester State · 2022-23
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Galati
SUNY Oswego · 2010-11
1.241 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.