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Jake Sanderson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-07-08 Country: USA
2020 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #5  ·  Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 USHL NTDP-U18 44 4 20 24 0.545 0.4229 0.4370 2.0301 2.0977
2019-20 USHL NTDP-U18 47 7 22 29 0.617 0.4784 0.4784 2.2965 2.2965
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 North Dakota D1 NCHC SO 23 8 18 26 1.130
2020-21 North Dakota D1 NCHC FR 22 2 13 15 0.682
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.41
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.68
2020-21 · North Dakota
+65.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 38 comparables)

76%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
24%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Charles Manley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ RPI (0.08 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Fortunato
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Boston University (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Mark Friedman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.49 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Corey Schueneman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Ian McCoshen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.83 PPG
→ Boston College (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Aquaro
Hobart · 2016-17
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.