← New Search ↗ Social Card

Arlo Merritt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-01-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Kimball Union NE-Prep 35 12 9 21 0.600 0.1189 0.1189 0.7509 0.7812
2019-20 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 48 14 7 21 0.438 0.1686 0.1686 0.6367 0.6367
2020-21 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 32 2 2 4 0.125 0.0737 0.0737 0.3754 0.3754
2021-22 BCHL 48 17 19 36 0.750 0.2890 0.2627 1.0915 0.9922
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bentley D1 AHA SR 40 6 10 16 0.400
2024-25 Bentley D1 AHA JR 35 8 7 15 0.429
2023-24 Bentley D1 AHA SO 30 6 6 12 0.400
2022-23 Bentley D1 AHA FR 28 5 7 12 0.429
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.43
2022-23 · Bentley
+144.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30190
Forward overall
#1593
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Norbert · 2007-08
0.682 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Southern New Hampshire · 2015-16
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.