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Matthew Davies Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-08-13 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 — NCDC 52 1 5 6 0.115 0.0267 0.0267 0.0933 0.0933
2020-21 New Jersey Rockets NCDC 42 4 11 15 0.357 0.0825 0.0825 0.2888 0.2888
2021-22 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 58 5 15 20 0.345 0.1225 0.1172 0.3620 0.3465
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alvernia D3 MAC SR 23 0 8 8 0.348
2024-25 Alvernia D3 MAC JR 26 2 9 11 0.423
2023-24 Alvernia D3 MAC SO 26 6 10 16 0.615
2022-23 Alvernia D3 MAC FR 26 2 11 13 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2022-23 · Alvernia
+352.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11664
Defenseman overall
#2119
Defenseman born in 2001

D1 Comparables

William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Costello
Canton · 2013-14
0.565 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cam Symons
SUNY Oswego · 2022-23
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Scott
Finlandia · 2010-11
0.786 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.