IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jaden Davis Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-07-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Berkshire School NE-Prep 29 14 21 35 1.207 0.2391 0.2391 0.5499 0.5499
2023-24 Rockland Nationals CCHL 48 18 14 32 0.667 0.1446 0.1420 0.5158 0.5064
2024-25 — NAHL 50 11 21 32 0.640 0.2351 0.2242 0.6755 0.6442
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Aurora D3 NCHA FR 32 13 20 33 1.031
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.03
2025-26 · Aurora
+529.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19838
Forward overall
#1043
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dylan Giorgio
Bethel · 2018-19
0.520 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Bradley Robbins
Hobart · 2011-12
0.708 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
James Tatro
Salem State · 2023-24
1.269 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.