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Lukas Gustafsson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-12-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Cushing Academy NE-Prep 33 3 7 10 0.303 0.0855 0.0855 0.1387 0.1387
2019-20 Cushing Academy NE-Prep 34 14 26 40 1.177 0.3319 0.3319 0.5384 0.5384
2020-21 Chicago Steel USHL 14 1 3 4 0.286 0.1756 0.1756 0.8417 0.8417
2021-22 Chicago Steel USHL 59 11 27 38 0.644 0.3959 0.3893 1.8976 1.8660
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Boston College D1 HockeyEast SR 36 6 16 22 0.611
2024-25 Boston College D1 HockeyEast JR 35 2 13 15 0.429
2023-24 Boston College D1 HockeyEast SO 41 3 13 16 0.390
2022-23 Boston College D1 HockeyEast FR 35 3 16 19 0.543
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.35
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.54
2022-23 · Boston College
+57.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2862
Defenseman overall
#741
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Gluchowski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.40 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2000-01
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Donny Flynn
Wilkes · 2015-16
1.423 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.