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Tyler Kostelecky Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-06-23 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Coulee Region Chill NAHL 1 0 0 0 0.000
2018-19 Minnesota Magicians NAHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1184 0.1300 0.3499 0.3842
2019-20 Alberni Valley Bulldogs BCHL 15 4 3 7 0.467 0.1798 0.1798 0.6800 0.6800
2020-21 Minot Minotauros NAHL 36 17 14 31 0.861 0.3059 0.3059 0.9041 0.9041
2021-22 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 51 10 11 21 0.412 0.2429 0.2209 1.2132 1.1032
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bethel D3 MIAC SR 26 9 5 14 0.538
2024-25 Bethel D3 MIAC 26 6 10 16 0.615
2023-24 Bethel D3 MIAC 26 13 13 26 1.000
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
Actual FR PPG
1.00
2023-24 · Bethel
+532.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19529
Forward overall
#907
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Oswego · 2006-07
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Utica · 2008-09
0.920 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Buffalo State · 2018-19
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.