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Brennan Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-03-21 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 2 0 4 4 2.000 0.7706 0.7706 2.9142 2.9142
2020-21 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 12 0 2 2 0.167 0.0642 0.0642 0.2429 0.2429
2021-22 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 45 9 22 31 0.689 0.2654 0.2695 1.0038 1.0195
2022-23 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 52 12 28 40 0.769 0.2964 0.2865 1.1208 1.0834
2023-24 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 39 9 21 30 0.769 0.2964 0.2729 1.1208 1.0320
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SO 27 2 3 5 0.185
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.19
2025-26 · Long Island Univ.
-22.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17670
Forward overall
#888
Forward born in 2003
#795
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Justin Meers
Trine · 2018-19
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Domsodi
Wentworth · 2010-11
1.250 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zack Bross
UMass Boston · 2016-17
1.518 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.