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Lucas Sorace Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-07-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 35 0 14 14 0.400 0.1490 0.1612 0.5828 0.6304
2022-23 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 44 2 11 13 0.295 0.1101 0.1137 0.4306 0.4447
2023-24 — BCHL 31 2 5 7 0.226 0.0841 0.0830 0.3290 0.3247
2024-25 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 43 5 20 25 0.581 0.2166 0.2028 0.8472 0.7934
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA FR 7 0 2 2 0.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2025-26 · Alaska Fairbanks
+95.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10635
Defenseman overall
#2270
Defenseman born in 2004
#2333
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Yzaguirre
Utica · 2017-18
0.350 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cody Keefer
St. Norbert · 2008-09
0.839 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Graham Day
Johnson & Wales · 2016-17
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.