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Zackary Tonelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-02-14 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Vernon Vipers BCHL 20 1 6 7 0.350 0.1304 0.1304 0.5100 0.5100
2021-22 Vernon Vipers BCHL 47 13 9 22 0.468 0.1744 0.1676 0.6821 0.6554
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Brown D1 ECAC SR 28 1 2 3 0.107
2024-25 Brown D1 ECAC JR 25 2 0 2 0.080
2023-24 Brown D1 ECAC SO 30 1 2 3 0.100
2022-23 Brown D1 ECAC FR 24 0 4 4 0.167
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2022-23 · Brown
+16.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#35517
Forward overall
#2154
Forward born in 2002
#2272
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Average
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Marc Biggs
Salve Regina · 2010-11
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Fish
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2004-05
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Roulston
Hamilton · 2004-05
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.