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Zackary Tonelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-02-14 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Vernon Vipers BCHL 20 1 6 7 0.350 0.1349 0.1349 0.5094 0.5094
2021-22 Vernon Vipers BCHL 47 13 9 22 0.468 0.1804 0.1733 0.6812 0.6545
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Brown D1 ECAC SR 28 1 2 3 0.107
2024-25 Brown D1 ECAC JR 25 2 0 2 0.080
2023-24 Brown D1 ECAC SO 30 1 2 3 0.100
2022-23 Brown D1 ECAC FR 24 0 4 4 0.167
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2022-23 · Brown
+12.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#35705
Forward overall
#2168
Forward born in 2002
#2018
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Marc Biggs
Salve Regina · 2010-11
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Sean Fish
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2004-05
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Roulston
Hamilton · 2004-05
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.