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Ethan Warrener Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-05-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 34 2 3 5 0.147 0.0567 0.0580 0.2143 0.2193
2022-23 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 42 2 10 12 0.286 0.1101 0.1073 0.4163 0.4056
2023-24 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 50 10 20 30 0.600 0.2312 0.2146 0.8743 0.8116
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Anchorage D1 WCHA SO 28 3 0 3 0.107
2024-25 Alaska Anchorage D1 — — 18 1 1 2 0.111
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2024-25 · Alaska Anchorage
-31.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10833
Defenseman overall
#2283
Defenseman born in 2003
#2096
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jhuwon Davis
New England College · 2018-19
0.741 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Hayden Stocks
Wisconsin-Stout · 2023-24
0.739 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Hassan Akl
Aurora · 2021-22
0.931 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.