IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Alexander Rybakov Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-01-14 Country: Russia
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Loko-76 Yaroslavl MHL-RU 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 42 1 6 7 0.167 0.1025 0.1061 0.4911 0.5085
2023-24 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 62 4 6 10 0.161 0.0992 0.0978 0.4752 0.4685
2024-25 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 53 6 12 18 0.340 0.2088 0.1952 1.0005 0.9352
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Providence D1 HockeyEast — 31 3 4 7 0.226
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2025-26 · Providence
+53.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10669
Defenseman overall
#2257
Defenseman born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Taki Pantziris
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Brown
0.15 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matt Van Voorhis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Max Everson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Harvard (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Joseph Fiala
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Kirk
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Dartmouth
0.18 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dillon Henningson
Manhattanville · 2005-06
0.765 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mark Ehl
New England College · 2005-06
1.071 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Colin Callanan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2021-22
0.533 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.