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Matt McNair Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-03-06 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2012-13 Calgary Mustangs AJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2013-14 — AJHL 50 5 4 9 0.180 0.0601 0.0608 0.1671 0.1692
2014-15 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 60 13 19 32 0.533 0.1781 0.1708 0.4951 0.4749
2015-16 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 60 34 25 59 0.983 0.3284 0.2997 0.9128 0.8331
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Adrian D3 NCHA SR 29 9 18 27 0.931
2018-19 Adrian D3 NCHA JR 28 8 8 16 0.571
2017-18 Adrian D3 NCHA SO 26 2 12 14 0.538
2016-17 Adrian D3 NCHA FR 29 5 6 11 0.379
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2016-17 · Adrian
+78.6% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#17824
Forward overall
#675
Forward born in 1995
#876
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Ricky DeRosa
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Penn State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dale Lupul
Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
0.759 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Derek Hansberry
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2004-05
1.259 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Conor Foley
Franklin Pierce · 2018-19
0.710 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.