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Tommy Holtby Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-04-21 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Army
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Fargo Force USHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 52 11 16 27 0.519 0.2117 0.2306 0.4173 0.4546
2024-25 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 41 7 3 10 0.244 0.0896 0.0934 0.2574 0.2682
2025-26 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 55 7 10 17 0.309 0.1823 0.1731 0.9284 0.8817
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30013
Forward overall
#1580
Forward born in 2006
#2806
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Tommy Schutt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Army Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Stephen Willey
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.17
actual FR PPG at Army
Reese Farrell
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.25
actual FR PPG at Army
Adam Marshall
USHS-MN 2020-21
0.32
actual FR PPG at Army
Kevin Dineen
NAHL 2015-16
0.15
actual FR PPG at Army

D2/3 Comparables

Luc Malkhassian
Middlebury · 2024-25
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
John Moncovich
Utica · 2017-18
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Arlen Marshall
Manhattanville · 2004-05
0.840 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.