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Tommy Holtby Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-04-21 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Army
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Fargo Force USHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Jersey Hitmen NCDC 52 11 16 27 0.519 0.2117 0.2306 0.4155 0.4526
2024-25 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 41 7 3 10 0.244 0.0896 0.0934 0.2578 0.2686
2025-26 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 55 7 10 17 0.309 0.1823 0.1731 0.9275 0.8808
2026-27 Brooks Bandits BCHL 5 2 1 3 0.600 0.2312 0.2312 0.8726 0.8726
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
25%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30560
Forward overall
#1616
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

Army Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

NE-Prep 2021-22
0.63
actual FR PPG at Army
USPHL-Premier-Classic 2016-17
0.42
actual FR PPG at Army
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.32
actual FR PPG at Army
USHS-MN 2023-24
0.00
actual FR PPG at Army

D2/3 Comparables

UMass Boston · 2006-07
0.654 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Westfield State · 2024-25
0.435 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Plymouth State · 2017-18
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.