IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Ethan Weber Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-12-10 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Penn State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Lincoln Stars USHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Lincoln Stars USHL 54 2 4 6 0.111 0.0655 0.0708 0.3337 0.3607
2024-25 Lincoln Stars USHL 62 5 14 19 0.306 0.1808 0.1862 0.9205 0.9480
2025-26 Penticton Vees WHL 68 14 37 51 0.750 0.3649 0.3572 1.8403 1.8017
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
65%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4893
Defenseman overall
#1028
Defenseman born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG

Penn State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Cade Christenson
BCHL 2023-24
0.23
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Kevin Kerr
USHL 2014-15
0.46
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Alex Stevens
USHL 2015-16
0.00
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Kris Myllari
USHL 2015-16
0.45
actual FR PPG at Penn State

D2/3 Comparables

Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Roman Cherniak
Lawrence · 2023-24
0.842 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Craig Kennedy
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.353 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.