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Chayce Schmidt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-05-23 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 51 3 5 8 0.157 0.0526 0.0526 0.1447 0.1447
2020-21 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 15 3 4 7 0.467 0.1565 0.1565 0.4305 0.4305
2021-22 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 60 9 10 19 0.317 0.1062 0.1034 0.2921 0.2845
2022-23 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 57 9 16 25 0.439 0.1471 0.1360 0.4046 0.3741
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Aurora D3 NCHA GR 32 8 23 31 0.969
2024-25 Aurora D3 NCHA SR 30 8 20 28 0.933
2023-24 Aurora D3 NCHA JR 28 7 14 21 0.750
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.75
2023-24 · Aurora
+612.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#39658
Forward overall
#2465
Forward born in 2002
#1496
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Bowles
Manhattanville · 2008-09
0.250 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Stevenson
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2005-06
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Reave MacKinnon
St. Michael's College · 2007-08
0.269 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.