IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Michael Barron Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-07-12 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Arizona State
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 7 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 61 15 20 35 0.574 0.3385 0.3589 1.7234 1.8272
2024-25 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 61 22 23 45 0.738 0.4352 0.4392 2.2156 2.2360
2025-26 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 62 18 50 68 1.097 0.6470 0.6217 3.2941 3.1654
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5123
Forward overall
#105
Forward born in 2006
#245
in USHL

D1 Comparables

J.T. Stenglein
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Michigan (0.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.59 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sam Anas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (1.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Luc Gerdes
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Frank DiChiara
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Yale (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Biggs
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Miami (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG

Arizona State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Jack Beck
OHL 2022-23
0.80
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
John Waldron
USHL 2021-22
0.38
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
Sam Alfano
OHL 2023-24
0.51
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
Matt Kopperud
USHL 2019-20
0.76
actual FR PPG at Arizona State

D2/3 Comparables

Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.