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Liam Watkins Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-07-13 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 17 3 7 10 0.588 0.1952 0.1952 0.5451 0.5451
2021-22 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 58 16 23 39 0.672 0.2231 0.2412 0.6232 0.6738
2022-23 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 54 26 41 67 1.241 0.4117 0.4247 1.1499 1.1862
2023-24 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 62 23 20 43 0.694 0.4263 0.4094 2.0432 1.9624
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 40 6 17 23 0.575
2025-26 Minnesota State D1 CCHA SO 40 6 17 23 0.575
2024-25 Nebraska Omaha D1 NCHC — 15 2 2 4 0.267
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.27
2024-25 · Nebraska Omaha
-25.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

75%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10062
Forward overall
#415
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Riley Bourbonnais
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ RPI (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kevin Irwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.56 PPG
→ Vermont (0.47 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Forgione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.70 PPG
→ Vermont (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sam Rothstein
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.57 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Logan Nelson
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Wisconsin-Stout (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Justin Fox
Salem State · 2005-06
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lee Stubbs
Manhattanville · 2000-01
1.115 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicholas Cyprian
Chatham · 2021-22
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.