IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Aiden Welch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-05-27 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 20 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 21 6 13 19 0.905 0.1145 0.1145 0.2198 0.2198
2021-22 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 27 15 14 29 1.074 0.1360 0.1360 0.2609 0.2609
2022-23 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 26 21 26 47 1.808 0.2289 0.2289 0.4391 0.4391
2023-24 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 54 8 16 24 0.444 0.2622 0.2501 1.3347 1.2733
2024-25 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 54 3 9 12 0.222 0.1311 0.1184 0.6674 0.6026
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Cloud State D1 NCHC FR 7 1 0 1 0.143
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.14
2025-26 · St. Cloud State
-2.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20330
Forward overall
#1089
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Devin Cobbold
Wentworth · 2011-12
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Christian Lloyd
Elmira · 2015-16
0.792 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Robert Bote
Lake Forest · 2008-09
0.929 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.