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Aiden Welch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-05-27 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 20 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 21 6 13 19 0.905 0.2436 0.2436 0.2198 0.2198
2021-22 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 27 15 14 29 1.074 0.2891 0.2891 0.2609 0.2609
2022-23 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 26 21 26 47 1.808 0.4866 0.4866 0.4391 0.4391
2023-24 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 54 8 16 24 0.444 0.2732 0.2606 1.3093 1.2491
2024-25 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 54 3 9 12 0.222 0.1366 0.1233 0.6546 0.5911
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Cloud State D1 NCHC FR 7 1 0 1 0.143
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.14
2025-26 · St. Cloud State
-6.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19994
Forward overall
#1066
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ethan Nitkin
UMass Boston · 2017-18
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Noah Carpenter
Colby · 2024-25
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Conter
Southern Maine · 2006-07
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.