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Joshua Niedermayer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-02-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Penticton Vees BCHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Penticton Vees BCHL 18 1 10 11 0.611 0.2355 0.2355 0.8893 0.8893
2021-22 Penticton Vees BCHL 43 4 14 18 0.419 0.1613 0.1712 0.6092 0.6467
2022-23 Penticton Vees BCHL 46 5 20 25 0.543 0.2094 0.2120 0.7910 0.8010
2024-25 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 56 6 19 25 0.446 0.2633 0.2343 1.3407 1.1929
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Colgate D1 ECAC — 27 2 8 10 0.370
2023-24 Arizona State D1 NCHC — 19 0 4 4 0.210
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2023-24 · Arizona State
+14.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

72%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5587
Defenseman overall
#1391
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Craig Cowie
Neumann · 2011-12
0.607 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Robbie Murden
Hamilton · 2012-13
1.091 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Taylor Bommarito
Manhattanville · 2016-17
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.