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Justin Kerr Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-08 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Grand Rapids USHS-MN 10 0 1 1 0.100 0.0127 0.0127 0.0243 0.0243
2020-21 Grand Rapids USHS-MN 18 4 10 14 0.778 0.0985 0.0985 0.1889 0.1889
2021-22 Grand Rapids USHS-MN 28 12 10 22 0.786 0.0995 0.0995 0.1908 0.1908
2023-24 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 58 22 22 44 0.759 0.2787 0.2732 0.8007 0.7850
2024-25 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 36 6 9 15 0.417 0.2458 0.2172 1.2515 1.1061
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 29 6 5 11 0.379
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2025-26 · UMass Lowell
+84.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20051
Forward overall
#1070
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

George Thurston
Southern New Hampshire · 2018-19
0.909 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Reed
Curry · 2010-11
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jayson Alegria
Bowdoin · 2024-25
0.762 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.