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Luke Mackenzie Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-08-14 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Canisius
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Virden Oil Capitals MJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 — MJHL 45 9 12 21 0.467 0.0898 0.0981 0.2949 0.3220
2024-25 Niverville Nighthawks MJHL 57 6 14 20 0.351 0.0675 0.0700 0.2217 0.2299
2025-26 Melfort Mustangs SJHL 40 6 11 17 0.425 0.1089 0.1085 0.3200 0.3189
2026-27 Melfort Mustangs SJHL 7 2 2 4 0.571 0.1464 0.1464 0.4303 0.4303
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#43572
Forward overall
#2650
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG

Canisius Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Matteo Giampa
NE-Prep 2019-20
0.97
actual FR PPG at Canisius
J.D. Pogue
CCHL 2017-18
0.09
actual FR PPG at Canisius
Ryan Schmelzer
OJHL 2013-14
0.39
actual FR PPG at Canisius
Carter Anderson
SJHL 2024-25
0.52
actual FR PPG at Canisius

D2/3 Comparables

Rick Cleaver
Norwich · 2003-04
1.235 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Rider McCallum
Plymouth State · 2021-22
0.889 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Polsinelli
Trinity · 2016-17
0.350 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.