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Ryan Schmelzer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1993-07-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 — OJHL 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2011-12 — OJHL 41 11 19 30 0.732 0.2198 0.2253 0.5008 0.5133
2012-13 — OJHL 51 24 43 67 1.314 0.3946 0.3848 0.8992 0.8769
2013-14 — OJHL 35 17 24 41 1.171 0.3519 0.3252 0.8018 0.7410
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Canisius D1 AHA SR 32 13 17 30 0.938
2016-17 Canisius D1 AHA JR 37 12 18 30 0.811
2015-16 Canisius D1 AHA SO 38 10 22 32 0.842
2014-15 Canisius D1 AHA FR 36 5 9 14 0.389
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.39
2014-15 · Canisius
+30.2% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#12707
Forward overall
#464
Forward born in 1993
#407
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Omar Mullan
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2013-14
1.286 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gavin Simopoulos
Southern Maine · 2023-24
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Kim Hilmersson
Plymouth State · 2024-25
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.