IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Saxton Tess Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-07-07 Country: USA
Bentley
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 52 7 10 17 0.327 0.1201 0.1267 0.3450 0.3640
2024-25 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 54 19 31 50 0.926 0.3402 0.3411 0.9773 0.9799
2025-26 Fargo Force USHL 57 13 12 25 0.439 0.2587 0.2355 1.3173 1.1991
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19010
Forward overall
#1016
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG

Bentley Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Matt Sieckhaus
NAHL 2013-14
0.24
actual FR PPG at Bentley
Taylor Dumonceaux
BCHL 2014-15
0.11
actual FR PPG at Bentley
Oliver Salo
NAHL 2023-24
0.19
actual FR PPG at Bentley
Arlo Merritt
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.43
actual FR PPG at Bentley

D2/3 Comparables

Quinn Tavares
Salve Regina · 2023-24
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Michel Bond
SUNY Geneseo · 2001-02
1.083 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jack Hatton
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2017-18
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.