IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Kelby Lorenz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1992-04-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2009-10 Toronto Dixie Beehives OJHL 30 7 8 15 0.500 0.1226 0.1288 0.3443 0.3618
2010-11 Toronto Dixie Beehives OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2011-12 Caledon Admirals OJHL 37 10 20 30 0.811 0.1987 0.1908 0.5582 0.5359
2012-13 — OJHL 49 16 20 36 0.735 0.1801 0.1639 0.5058 0.4604
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2013-14 Southern Maine D3 HockeyEast FR 24 10 8 18 0.750
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.75
2013-14 · Southern Maine
+401.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#26662
Forward overall
#988
Forward born in 1992
#1274
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brandon Bistodeau
Hobart · 2014-15
0.462 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Micaiah Bascombe
Roger Williams · 2024-25
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Carroll
Utica · 2021-22
0.429 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.