IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Travis Fernley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1992-06-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 North Bay Trappers NOJHL 47 16 21 37 0.787 0.2002 0.2071 0.3266 0.3379
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2013-14 Fredonia D3 — FR 21 3 8 11 0.524
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2013-14 · Fredonia
+195.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#28139
Forward overall
#1044
Forward born in 1992
#380
in NOJHL

D1 Comparables

Adam Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average
NCAAe PPG
Gage Torrel
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG
Nikolas Olsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Boston University (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alex Rauter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Cornell (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Average
NCAAe PPG
Josh Nenadal
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.30 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Cullen Willox
St. Thomas · 2013-14
0.542 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Caleb Suderman
Concordia · 2007-08
0.630 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Lamirande
Wisconsin-Superior · 2003-04
0.381 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.