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Matthew Paiotti Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-12-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Jersey Hitmen USPHL-Premier 36 11 12 23 0.639 0.0836 0.0848 0.2168 0.2199
2018-19 Jersey Hitmen USPHL-Premier 43 9 11 20 0.465 0.0608 0.0584 0.1579 0.1518
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Framingham State D3 MASCAC — 18 1 2 3 0.167
2019-20 Framingham State D3 MASCAC — 25 6 2 8 0.320
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2019-20 · Framingham State
+442.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
10%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#32106
Forward overall
#1598
Forward born in 1998
#2617
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Justin Tremblay
Saint Anselm · 2023-24
0.250 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Dan Morello
SUNY Morrisville · 2009-10
0.458 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sam Gray
Williams · 2012-13
0.240 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.