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Bailey Kirwin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-07-21 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 37 4 14 18 0.486 0.1192 0.1281 0.3350 0.3599
2019-20 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 41 8 21 29 0.707 0.1734 0.1734 0.4870 0.4870
2020-21 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 — OJHL 49 10 22 32 0.653 0.1601 0.1487 0.4497 0.4176
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Albertus Magnus D3 UCHC SR 26 6 7 13 0.500
2024-25 Albertus Magnus D3 UCHC JR 24 1 1 2 0.083
2023-24 Albertus Magnus D3 UCHC SO 18 1 3 4 0.222
2022-23 Albertus Magnus D3 UCHC FR 18 3 3 6 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2022-23 · Albertus Magnus
+177.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30013
Forward overall
#1578
Forward born in 2001
#1569
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jonas Oesterle
Framingham State · 2024-25
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Burnett
SUNY Geneseo · 2017-18
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Joey Meehan
Plymouth State · 2015-16
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.