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Hayden Heinrich Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-05-27 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 52 4 21 25 0.481 0.1178 0.1144 0.3291 0.3196
2022-23 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 54 7 18 25 0.463 0.1135 0.1044 0.3169 0.2915
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Norwich D3 LittleEast GR 28 1 5 6 0.214
2024-25 Norwich D3 LittleEast SR 28 0 4 4 0.143
2023-24 Norwich D3 LittleEast JR 25 0 3 3 0.120
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2023-24 · Norwich
+17.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
60%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11529
Defenseman overall
#2361
Defenseman born in 2002
#2397
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Michael Covach
Plymouth State · 2014-15
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
John Nugent
Lake Forest · 2014-15
0.235 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Demetri Sakaris
Southern Maine · 2010-11
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.