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Pat Last Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-02-03 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Thunder Hockey Club NCDC 45 10 5 15 0.333 0.1359 0.1339 0.2679 0.2640
2023-24 Thunder Hockey Club NCDC 50 5 15 20 0.400 0.1631 0.1515 0.3215 0.2986
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Michael's College D2 NE10 22 3 3 6 0.273
2024-25 St. Michael's College D2 NE10 25 4 4 8 0.320
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2024-25 · St. Michael's College
+158.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
2%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24337
Forward overall
#1341
Forward born in 2003
#859
in NCDC

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Potsdam · 2021-22
0.609 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Olaf · 2013-14
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Norwich · 2003-04
0.435 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.