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Dustin Patterson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-01-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 15 1 5 6 0.400 0.0924 0.0909 0.3234 0.3181
2023-24 P.A.L. Junior Islanders NCDC 30 9 5 14 0.467 0.1079 0.1000 0.3774 0.3498
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Neumann D3 MAC SO 26 4 8 12 0.462
2024-25 Neumann D3 MAC — 22 4 2 6 0.273
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.27
2024-25 · Neumann
+230.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21769
Forward overall
#1150
Forward born in 2003
#677
in NCDC

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Danny Rock
SUNY Brockport · 2016-17
0.280 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Derlago
Utica · 2014-15
0.417 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Lane Boswell
Marian · 2007-08
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.