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Carter Real Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-07-02 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 38 8 9 17 0.447 0.1344 0.1379 0.3062 0.3141
2022-23 — OJHL 53 17 27 44 0.830 0.2494 0.2431 0.5683 0.5540
2023-24 — OJHL 57 20 34 54 0.947 0.2846 0.2626 0.6485 0.5985
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Adrian D3 NCHA SO 5 1 0 1 0.200
2024-25 Adrian D3 NCHA — 13 0 5 5 0.385
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2024-25 · Adrian
+76.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#22540
Forward overall
#1212
Forward born in 2003
#1220
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Devin Brink
SUNY Geneseo · 2015-16
0.654 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Stefano Alonzi
SUNY Cortland · 2015-16
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lawson MacDougall
Hobart · 2015-16
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.