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Jason Bailey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-06-04 Country: USA
2005 · Round 2, Pick #63  ·  Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2002-03 Nepean Raiders CCHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2003-04 Nepean Raiders CCHL 45 14 14 28 0.622 0.1350 0.1490 0.4814 0.5314
2004-05 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 60 7 11 18 0.300 0.2230 0.2178 1.1194 1.0932
2006-07 Ottawa 67's OHL 35 7 9 16 0.457 0.2644 0.2507 1.1745 1.1139
2007-08 Ottawa 67's OHL 34 8 9 17 0.500 0.2893 0.2601 1.2848 1.1550
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2006-07 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 19 0 0 0 0.000
2005-06 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 27 5 2 7 0.259
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2005-06 · Michigan
+59.2% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#19210
Forward overall
#648
Forward born in 1987

D1 Comparables

Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brady Fleurent
University of New England · 2014-15
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Anders Grongstad
Worcester State · 2021-22
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Aaron Herdt
Concordia · 2015-16
1.273 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.