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Matthew Virgilio Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-03-24 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Yale
ECAC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Soo Greyhounds OHL 62 4 11 15 0.242 0.1399 0.1529 0.6216 0.6792
2023-24 Soo Greyhounds OHL 66 4 11 15 0.227 0.1315 0.1374 0.5840 0.6102
2024-25 Niagara IceDogs OHL 68 4 23 27 0.397 0.2297 0.2281 1.0203 1.0134
2025-26 Moncton Wildcats QMJHL 62 4 15 19 0.306 0.1506 0.1433 0.8184 0.7785
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8864
Defenseman overall
#1798
Defenseman born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Vinny Muto
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Niagara (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Aleksi Rossi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ Brown
0.08 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Everson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Harvard (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Björkung
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG

Yale Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Tucker Hartmann
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.00
actual FR PPG at Yale
Bayard Hall
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.26
actual FR PPG at Yale
Jason Marsella
NE-Prep 2019-20
0.00
actual FR PPG at Yale
Dylan Hunt
NE-Prep 2022-23
0.26
actual FR PPG at Yale

D2/3 Comparables

Ben Kemp
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2000-01
0.536 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Pat Power
Wisconsin-Superior · 2003-04
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Eric Berglund
Manhattanville · 2013-14
0.696 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.