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Matthew Gard Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-04-07 Country: Canada
2025 · Round 2, Pick #57  ·  Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
Michigan State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Red Deer Rebels WHL 55 7 11 18 0.327 0.1592 0.1743 0.8031 0.8793
2024-25 Red Deer Rebels WHL 66 19 17 36 0.545 0.2654 0.2764 1.3385 1.3940
2025-26 Red Deer Rebels WHL 55 17 16 33 0.600 0.2919 0.2905 1.4722 1.4651
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
48%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21051
Forward overall
#639
Forward born in 2007
#753
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Jack Rowe
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Arizona State (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brian Morgan
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Maine (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average
NCAAe PPG
Max Coatta
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.36 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Schmidt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Bentley (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Christian Lampasso
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG

Michigan State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Cody Milan
USHL 2014-15
0.24
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Brody Stevens
USHL 2015-16
0.18
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Tiernan Shoudy
USHL 2020-21
0.32
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Gavin Best
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State

D2/3 Comparables

Myles Abbate
Plymouth State · 2018-19
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Patrick Stillar
SUNY Morrisville · 2009-10
1.154 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Peters
UMass Boston · 2015-16
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.