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Casey Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1992-07-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 Alaska Avalanche NAHL 29 1 5 6 0.207 0.0768 0.0804 0.2191 0.2292
2011-12 Alaska Avalanche NAHL 56 1 19 20 0.357 0.1326 0.1322 0.3781 0.3770
2012-13 Johnstown Tomahawks NAHL 56 10 22 32 0.571 0.2122 0.2009 0.6050 0.5728
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2015-16 Minnesota State D1 WCHA JR 40 6 16 22 0.550
2014-15 Minnesota State D1 WCHA SO 40 7 26 33 0.825
2013-14 Minnesota State D1 WCHA FR 19 1 4 5 0.263
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2013-14 · Minnesota State
+60.8% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#6667
Defenseman overall
#1161
Defenseman born in 1992
#3010
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Jake Flynn
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UConn (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
John Rey
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.70 PPG
→ Robert Morris (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jon Chauvin
New England College · 2018-19
0.304 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Dom Kuziak
Castleton · 2016-17
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Kit Sitterley
UMass Boston · 2011-12
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.