IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Matthew Francois Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-05-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Coulee Region Chill NA3HL 42 18 39 57 1.357 0.1635 0.1681 0.4287 0.4409
2018-19 Amarillo Wranglers NAHL 57 6 8 14 0.246 0.0912 0.0906 0.2600 0.2583
2019-20 Amarillo Wranglers NAHL 47 3 7 10 0.213 0.0790 0.0790 0.2253 0.2253
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Wisconsin-Superior D3 BigTen FR 6 0 2 2 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2020-21 · Wisconsin-Superior
+220.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#37629
Forward overall
#1784
Forward born in 1999

D1 Comparables

Mike Robinson
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.19 PPG
→ New Hampshire
0.11 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
Robin Höglund
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota
0.19 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Jackson
Wisconsin-Stout · 2014-15
0.222 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Brock Sawyer
Elmira · 2006-07
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Adamsons
Connecticut College · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.